Game Slate
Before you read these numbers
Win rate is the wrong question.
A tout service advertising 60% winners on heavy favourites at −300 needs 75% just to break even. Betting $100 a game:
| 60 wins | × $33 | +$2,000 |
| 40 losses | × $100 | −$4,000 |
| Net | −$2,000 |
Flip it. On +150 underdogs the bar is 40%, so a 45% record returns +$1,250 over the same 100 bets. Nothing changed but the price.
Ignore win rate. Look at profit per $100.
Where the sportsbooks (Square), our model (Sharp) and the prediction markets (Crowd) disagree on pre-game prices. A gap is a disagreement, not a pick.
Powered by Kalshi Research
Gap color shows size only: under 2 points, 2 to 5, over 5. Select a game for its full analysis.
Do you trade on Kalshi or Polymarket US?
How to read this
Fair value: pro books (Pinnacle, Circa, BetOnline, Bookmaker), vig removed. Cost: the venue's price plus its fee, at a $100 order. Lines no pro book prices at that number are either estimated from the pro books' main line (Alternate lines, not rated yet) or not graded. Neither is ever a buy.
Powered by Kalshi Research
| Time | Sport | Matchup | Bet | Side / Line | Book | Odds | EV ↓ | Prob | B/E | Grade | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loading... | |||||||||||
Prop prices
Every book's price against the no-vig market. No projections, no picks.