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Trust Hub

Cross-sport calibration scoreboard. Brier measures how close each pick's probability was to the result, so lower is better; market Brier does the same for the no-vig market price on the same picks. Lift is model minus market, so negative means the model beat the market. Status: calibrated if |lift| < 0.005, watch if < 0.020, action otherwise.

Cross-sport calibration scoreboard: N picks, model Brier, market Brier, lift, and calibration status per sport.
Sport N picks Model Brier Market Brier Lift Status
NBA 551 0.2331 0.1795 +0.0536 action
NHL 856 0.2377 0.2357 +0.0020 calibrated
MLB 4719 0.2447 0.2432 +0.0015 calibrated
Soccer 1017 0.2201 0.2321 -0.0119 watch
Tennis 3429 0.2091 0.1998 +0.0094 watch
Cricket 90 0.2546 0.2616 -0.0069 watch
UFC 459 0.1898 0.1795 +0.0103 watch

NBA blend split (deploy 2026-05-25): v1 N=528 lift +0.0561  ·  v2 N=23 lift -0.0025  —  full NBA dashboard

Pulled at Oct 22, 2026 · 00:56 UTC. Click any sport for full calibration buckets and signal-level dashboards.